Demo only — this investigation, its subject and its sources are fictional. It demonstrates how a real case is presented.
"Write it down": Marla Quint's $500 DemoCorp call finished the year at $212
On 2 January 2024 Marla Quint told viewers DemoCorp would be a $500 stock by year-end. It never closed above $268.10 and ended 2024 at $212.40.
The original statement
Exact quotationDemoCorp is going to be a five-hundred-dollar stock by the end of this year. Write it down.
Context
Said during a segment on technology stocks, without conditions.
What happened afterward
Documented recordDMCO closed 2024 at $212.40; the 2024 high close was $268.10.
The prediction, scored
Resolution criteria“DemoCorp is going to be a five-hundred-dollar stock by the end of this year. Write it down.”
Outcome
DMCO never closed at or above $500 in 2024. Highest close: $268.10. Close on 31 Dec 2024: $212.40.
- Subject
- DemoCorp (DMCO)
- Target
- ≥ $500.00
- Deadline
- Dec 31, 2024
- Resolution
- Correct if DMCO closes at or above $500 on any trading day up to and including 31 Dec 2024.
- Observed
- 212.4 USD · manual · Dec 31, 2024 (America/New_York)
The investigation
DEMO ONLY — every person, quote, source and number in this case is fictional.
Opening the first broadcast of 2024, Marla Quint made a specific, dated call: "DemoCorp is going to be a five-hundred-dollar stock by the end of this year. Write it down."
We did. The prediction had a clear target ($500), a clear asset (DMCO) and a clear deadline (31 December 2024), so it could be scored without interpretation.
Outcome
DMCO's highest close of 2024 was $268.10. It closed the year at $212.40, 58% short of the target. There were no stock splits or other corporate actions in the period that would change the comparison.
Context
Quint did not attach conditions to the call. She later said on air that she still liked the company long term; that is an opinion, and we do not score it.
Evidence
2 sources- Exhibit A
Closing Bell Demo — 2 January 2024 (DEMO)
DEMO transcript at 12:44 — "DemoCorp is going to be a five-hundred-dollar stock by the end of this year. Write it down."
- What it shows
- The exact wording, date and lack of conditions of the prediction.
- Identity / ownership
- Independently established
- Exhibit B
DemoCorp (DMCO) daily closing prices, 2024 (DEMO)
DEMO — DMCO closed at $212.40 on 31 December 2024. 2024 high close: $268.10.
- What it shows
- DMCO did not close at or above $500 at any point in 2024.
- Limitations
- Closing prices only.
- Identity / ownership
- Independently established
Timeline
"$500 by the end of this year"
On-air prediction.
DMCO closes 2024 at $212.40
Deadline passes; target not reached.
Limitations
What this does not establishScored on official closing prices only; intraday highs were not considered. Quint's later long-term opinion is not scored.
Subject response
Right of replyDeclined to comment
Correction history
DEMO correction: the 2024 high close was transposed ($286.10). The correct figure from the market data source is $268.10.