The scoreboard

Predictions

Recorded word for word on the day they were made. Scored only when the stated deadline and resolution criteria are met. The original wording is never edited — any correction is logged publicly.

Resolved

4

1 correct · 2 incorrect · 1 partial

Open

1

Not counted as right or wrong

Excluded

0

0 unscorable · 0 disputed

Resolved incorrectDemo only · fictional

“DemoCoin hits one hundred thousand dollars before 2026. I'd bet my house on it.”

Dex Calloway · Said March 3, 2025

The Demo Stack Podcast · Episode 201: Bear market survival (DEMO) · at 08:15 · Mar 3, 2025 · example.com

Outcome

DemoCoin's highest UTC daily close in the window was $71,400.

Demo CoinData · DemoCoin daily price history 2025 (DEMO) · Jan 1, 2026 · example.com

Subject: DemoCoin
Target: ≥ $100,000
Deadline: Dec 31, 2025
Resolution: Correct if any UTC daily close is at or above $100,000 before 1 Jan 2026.
Observed: 71,400 USD · coingecko · Dec 31, 2025 (UTC)

Resolved incorrectDemo only · fictional

“DemoCorp is going to be a five-hundred-dollar stock by the end of this year. Write it down.”

Marla Quint · Said January 2, 2024

Demo Markets Network · Closing Bell Demo — 2 January 2024 (DEMO) · at 12:44 · Jan 2, 2024 · example.com

Outcome

DMCO never closed at or above $500 in 2024. Highest close: $268.10. Close on 31 Dec 2024: $212.40.

Demo Exchange Market Data · DemoCorp (DMCO) daily closing prices, 2024 (DEMO) · Jan 2, 2025 · example.com

Read the investigation →

Subject: DemoCorp (DMCO)
Target: ≥ $500.00
Deadline: Dec 31, 2024
Resolution: Correct if DMCO closes at or above $500 on any trading day up to and including 31 Dec 2024.
Observed: 212.4 USD · manual · Dec 31, 2024 (America/New_York)